Service Plays Tuesday 09/22/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (87-61) at Florida (80-70)

With time running out on their wild-card chances, the Marlins open a key three-game, two-day series against the division-leading Phillies with a double-header at Land Shark Stadium. Philadelphia’s Joe Blanton (10-7, 3.97 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Marlins ace Josh Johnson (15-4, 3.01) in the opener, with Jamie Moyer (12-9, 5.05) slated to start the nightcap for Philadelphia against Anibal Sanchez (2-7, 4.50).

The Phillies, who lead the N.L. East by five games over both the Braves and Marlins, roll into South Beach having won 10 of their last 13 games, including seven of the last eight, all against division rivals, going 4-2 on the road during this stretch. The defending champs have been getting tremendous pitching, allowing two runs or fewer in five of their last seven contests. Philadelphia enters this series on runs of 23-9 in divisional play, 5-1 after a victory, 4-0 in series openers, 21-6 in opening game of a double header, 11-4 versus winning teams, 42-20 on Tuesday and 27-11 after an off day.

Florida, which like the Phillies was idle on Monday, comes off a seven-game road trip in which it went 4-3, ending with Sunday’s 8-1 blowout loss at Cincinnati. The Marlins, who trail Colorado by five games in the wild-card race, have played just three of their last 16 games in South Beach, and they lost two of those three to the lowly Nationals. Florida has lost six of its last 10 at home, but is otherwise on positive runs of 8-3 against N.L. East rivals, 5-1 after a loss, 5-1 on Tuesday and 4-0 following a day off.

The road team has dominated this rivalry in 2009, winning 11 of the first 12 meetings. Also, going back to the final series of 2008, Philadelphia is on an 8-0 run playing in Florida.

Blanton scattered six hits and four walks in six scoreless innings in Wednesday’s 6-1 victory over the Nationals. He’s now pitched at least six innings while allowing three runs or fewer in 12 of his last 13 starts and 17 of his last 20 outings dating to May 26. Behind Blanton, Philly is on upticks of 14-6 against the N.L. East, 9-4 in series openers and 13-6 against winning teams, but the squad is just 8-10 in his last 18 efforts overall and 1-7 in his last eight road starts. For the season, Blanton is 3-4 with a 4.52 ERA in 13 starts as a visitor.

Johnson is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts, and he’s now yielded four runs or fewer in 29 of 30 starts this season, allowing three runs or less 27 times. The Marlins are 38-18 in the right-hander’s last 56 trips to the mound, including 17-5 in his last 22 at home and 27-9 in his last 36 against N.L. East foes. This year, Johnson is 7-2 with a 2.45 ERA in 15 starts at Land Shark Stadium.

Moyer was banished to the bullpen in favor of Pedro Martinez in early August, but he has made two starts this month, allowing a combined seven runs on 10 hits in 13 innings (4.85 ERA), with the Phillies losing 4-3 at Houston on Sept. 7 and 10-9 to the Mets at home 10 days ago. Philadelphia has come up empty in Moyer’s last four starts in a row, though they’re 5-1 in his last six on the highway and 36-15 in his last 51 starts against the N.L. East. He’s 6-2 with a 3.76 ERA on the road this season.

Sanchez has given up three earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts, but he’s pitched past the fifth inning just twice during this stretch, never going longer than six innings. On Thursday in Cincinnati, he lasted five innings, surrendering three runs in a 3-2 loss. The Marlins have taken 13 of Sanchez’s last 19 home starts – where he’s 0-3 with a 4.00 ERA in six games this season – but they’re 1-4 in his last five trips to the hill overall and 1-4 in his last five Tuesday outings.

Blanton is 3-1 with a 3.42 ERA in four career starts against Florida (1-1, 1.98 ERA in two games this year), while Moyer is an astounding 13-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 16 career starts against the Marlins (2-2, 2.63 ERA in four games this year), including 8-0 with a 1.37 ERA in eight starts in Florida.

Johnson is 4-1 with a 1.41 ERA all-time against the Phillies (nine appearances, including seven starts), going 1-0 with a microscopic 0.69 ERA in two games this year (one run allowed in 13 innings). Meanwhile, Sanchez is 0-4 with an 8.72 ERA in five lifetime starts versus Philadelphia, with the Marlins losing all five.

For Philadelphia, the under is on runs of 6-2 overall, 10-2 in series openers, 4-0 after a day off, 5-1 on Tuesday,10-3 against winning teams, 6-1-1 when Blanton pitches against divisional opponents and 4-0 when Moyer starts on the road. However, as a team, the over is 4-1 in the Phillies’ last five as a visitor.

Florida carries team “under” trends of 5-0-1 overall, 5-0 on Tuesday, 10-3-1 overall behind Sanchez and 7-2-1 when Sanchez faces divisional rivals, but otherwise the over for the Marlins is on streaks of 19-7 at home, 4-1 in the first game of a doubleheader, 20-8-1 when Johnson faces the N.L. East, 5-1-2 when he starts on Tuesday and 13-4-2 when he opens a series.

Finally, the over is 54-25-3 in the last 82 Phillies-Marlins meetings in Miami and 4-0 in Johnson’s last four starts against Philadelphia, but the under is 4-1 in Moyer’s last five games in Florida.

ATS ADVANTAGE GAME 1): FLORIDA and OVER

ATS ADVANTAGE (GAME 2): PHILADELPHIA and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (95-56) at L.A. Angels (90-60)

American League division leaders that are destined for the playoffs continue a three-game series at Angel Stadium, with Ervin Santana (7-8, 5.43 ERA) slated to toe the slab for the hosts opposite the Yankees’ Chad Gaudin (5-10, 4.81 ERA overall; 1-0, 3.68 with New York).

The Yankees dropped to 1-3 on their current West Coast road swing with last night’s 5-2 loss in Anaheim. Still, they’re on impressive streaks of 57-24 overall, 16-8 on the road, 38-18 in the second game of a series, 8-3 on Tuesday and 36-15 when facing right-handed starters. Also, New York has come up victorious in each of Gaudin’s four starts with the club.

The Angels have won four of their last five and are 7-1 in their last eight at home. However, despite Monday’s win, they’ve lost four of their last six to A.L. East foes.

Los Angeles holds a slim 5-3 lead in the season series with New York, and the home team is 7-1 this year and 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.

Gaudin has surrendered 0, 3, 1 and 3 runs in his first four starts since coming over in a trade from San Diego, and while the Yankees won all four games – including Wednesday’s 5-4 home win over Toronto – three were one-run victories. Also, Gaudin hasn’t pitched past the sixth inning in any of his last six starts going back to his time with the Padres. Combined, the right-hander is 3-4 with a 4.46 ERA in 14 road appearances (13 starts) this year (0-0, 4.82 ERA in two on the road with the Yankees).

Santana has delivered a quality start seven times in his last eight trips to the mound, including on Thursday in Boston, when the right-hander allowed three runs in seven innings. He failed to get a decision, though the Angels eventually scored a 4-3 win, ending a four-game losing skid with Santana pitching. Los Angeles is just 1-5 in Santana’s last six at home – where he’s 1-5 with a 7.24 ERA in nine games this season – but they’re unbeaten in his last four starts against the A.L. East (including Thursday’s win in Boston).

With the Padres, Gaudin faced the Angels in Anaheim during interleague play on July 12 and got destroyed, allowing eight runs on 10 hits in three innings of an 11-6 loss. He’s 3-3 with a 5.33 ERA in 18 career appearances (eight starts) versus L.A. Meanwhile, Santana is 5-2 with a 5.09 ERA in seven lifetime starts against the Bronx Bombers.

The over is 9-5 in New York’s last 14 road games and 5-1-1 in its last seven on Tuesday, but the under is 5-1 in the Yanks’ last five against the A.L. West. Meanwhile, L.A. carries nothing but “under” trends, including 20-6-1 overall, 6-0-1 at home, 6-0-1 on Tuesday, 16-5-1 versus right-handed starters, 5-0 with Santana on the mound, 4-1-1 when Santana starts at home and 4-1 when he hurls on Tuesday.

Finally, the over is 21-9 in the last 30 Yankees-Angels battles overall, with 13 of the last 17 in Anaheim topping the posted total. Also, going back to his days with Oakland, Gaudin has topped the total in five of his last six starts against New York.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR TUESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


ST. LOUIS (PINEIRO) -155 (1)

Houston (Bazardo)


Texas (McCarthy)

OAKLAND (CAHILL) -130 (2)


ATLANTA (JURRJENS) -170 (3)

Mets (Figueroa)


Run Totals

Braves / Mets UNDER 8

Texas / Oakland OVER 8 ½

Dodgers / Washington UNDER 9

Philadelphia / Florida UNDER 8 ½ Game 1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Dolphins ( 3) Monday night.

Today it's the Reds. The surplus is 1,120 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo knocked a small chunk off the debt last night when he rode the Colts and Giants into the winner's circle to slice the number to 1,415 jensens.

Tonight, he expects the Sawx to mount a relentless Zach attack in Kansas City -- 10 units on Boston to keep the heat on the Yanks.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Phillies(GM1)
Brewers

 

[Mr.Maxx]

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between St. Louis vs. Houston (Tuesday, September 22nd @ 8:05pm). The last 7 games between these two teams have gone under except the step out game I had yesterday it seems. No worries as we look to keep the $2000+ rolling in September baseball. I like both of these pitchers on bounce-backs today. Pineiro who has been lights out this year comes off a bit of a rough outing against the Marlins. He went five innings and gave up four runs on 10 hits in a game the Cardinals lost at home. Prior to that he pitched a gem going 7 innings and giving up 1 earned run but also picked up the loss in a 0-1 game vs. the Braves. I expect him to get back on track here today versus Houston. In that same token, Yorman Bazardo had a bit of a dissappointing start against the Reds on the road as the Astros fell short 5-6 and he picked up a no-decision. He starts at home in front of the fans this time out which is a bit of an anomaly for him and if he would like to stay in the rotation, he needs to make an impression today. The Under is 9-2-1 in Pineiro's last 12 starts against this total and the Under is 12-3-1 for the Astros as a home dog by this margin.
Good luck,

IC

 

[Mr.Maxx]

1.5-Unit Play. Take #937 Philadelphia (+135) over Florida (4 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Philadelphia at Florida (4 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)
Note: This is Game 1.


1.5-Unit Play. Take #907 Philadelphia (+110) over Florida (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Philadelphia at Florida (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)
Note: This is Game 2.


1-Unit Play. Take #921 Detroit (-120) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #930 Oakland (-130) over Texas (10 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)


Today's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Texas at Oakland (10 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Seattle at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Baltimore at Toronto (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 22)

That's it for today. Ferringo

 

[motor87]

axiumsports.com

September 22nd 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,419.48

Pick #3-MLB-
3)Bet 18.31 to win 15.92 on LA Dodgers/Washington OVER 9 -115

Pick #4- MLB-
4a)Bet 15.82 to win 17.72 on NY Yankees ML OVER LAA Angels +112

4b)Bet 38.45 to win 43.07 on NY Yankees ML OVER LAA Angels +112

 

[brewerfan003]

Ben Burns' MLB **AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR!**

FLORIDA MARLINS (Johnson)-145 over Philadelphia Phillies (Blanton)

Reason: I'm playing on FLORIDA in Game 1 of today's double-header. It's true that the Phillies have dominated the Marlins here this season. However, they certainly haven't dominated today's starter, Josh Johnson. Indeed, Johnson is 1-0 with an awesome 0.69 ERA with 14 strikeouts in 13 innings against the Phillies this season. The Phillies did beat the Marlins when they faced Johnson here earlier - however, that wasn't Johnson's fault, as he tossed seven shutout innings, allowing only three hits. Johnson then dominated the Phillies at Philadelphia, winning 12-3 in early August. Off a great start at St. Louis, Johnson is now 15-4 (Marlins are 21-9) with a 3.01 ERA for the season. That includes a 7-2 record with an awesome 2.45 ERA and 1.057 WHIP here at home with the Marlins going 11-4. It should also be noted that Johnson is a perfect 6-0 in his daytime starts. Blanton has had a fairly solid season. That said, his numbers don't compare to Johnson's and his success has come largely at home. In fact, he's just 3-4 in 13 road starts with a mediocre 4.52 ERA. The Phillies were just 5-8 (-4.4) in those games. His last road start saw him get rocked by the Nationals for eight runs in only 4 2/3 innings. It should also be pointed out that Blanton has a decent 3.59 ERA at night but a poor 5.15 ERA during the day. I expect Johnson to continue his success and for the Marlins to finally win a home game in this series. *6 Annihilator

 

[SONBP2]

I have decided to limit my plays to Trushel and Anothny Redd if you have the plays for Tuesday or want to go half let me know.

Thanks

 

[MartyMar]

SuperSportsGroup - 9/22

Thanks for purchasing our picks.
After another 3-0 MLB sweep last night and another 9* and 10* GOW winner, we have some great momentum today and here are your plays. BTW dont miss out on our 9* Best Bet of the day today.



Phillies v. Florida 4pm G1
PICK: Phillies ML +130 (8*) Best Bet

Chicago v. Milwaukee 8pm
PICK: Brewers ML -105 (7*)

2 Team Parlayfor $200 pays $640

Yankees ML +110
Mets RL ev

 

[MartyMar]

Payne Sports 9/22

Florida -140 for 9 units and Johnson must go! Game 1



This is a complete mismatch and Florida is in must win mode. They are almost out of it, but they need wins and this is a must with ace Johnson going today in the opener. Johnson in his last 3 starts is 2-0 only allowing 13 hits in 16 innings and getting pulled early against St Louis with a cushioning lead. He pitched well against Philly last time out and I expect the same today. Take Florida today as they get this must needed win at the small price.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Play

oak a's

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost on Monday with the Astros -$140/Cardnials.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes 2 the Wsox -$160/Twins and the Rockies -$220/Padres.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-1 -$140 for the week and 79-65 -$2710 for the MLB season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL


NY Yankees at LA Angels
The Yankees look to take advantage of an LA team that is just 1-5 in Ervin Santana's last 6 starts at home. New York is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.600; Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.783
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Over

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 16.576; Washington (Hernandez) 13.203
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Over

Game 905-906: Atlanta at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.962; NY Mets (Figueroa) 13.681
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-185); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-185); Over

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.847; Florida (Sanchez) 14.902
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Over

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 16.812; Milwaukee (Bush) 15.600
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under

Game 911-912: St. Louis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 13.983; Houston (Bazardo) 14.306
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+155); Under

Game 913-914: San Diego at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Mujica) 16.002; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.029
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-230); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+210); Over

Game 915-916: San Francisco at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.244; Arizona (Davis) 15.063
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1;
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: Seattle at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.508; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.046
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Under

Game 919-920: Baltimore at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hendrickson) 14.701; Toronto (Tallet) 13.827
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+125); Over

Game 921-922: Detroit at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Jackson) 13.888; Cleveland (Laffey) 14.772
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+135); Over

Game 923-924: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Manship) 15.009; White Sox (Danks) 15.891
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-165); Over

Game 925-926: Boston at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Byrd) 17.602; Kansas City (Greinke) 16.409
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+140); Under

Game 927-928: NY Yankees at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Gaudin) 16.272; LA Angels (Santana) 15.237
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120); Over

Game 929-930: Texas at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (McCarthy) 15.850; Oakland (Cahill) 15.234
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Under

Game 931-932: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 15.200; Florida (Johnson) 15.548
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-145); Under

 

[The305U]

O'Malley and Goldstein

Soccer - English - Carling Cup - September 22nd:
[2:45pm EDT] - Portsmouth FC @ Carlisle UTD - Portsmouth FC (-125)
[2:45pm EDT] - Liverpool FC @ Leeds UTD - Liverpool FC (-167)
[2:45pm EDT] - Blackpool FC @ Stoke City - Stoke City (-167)
[2:45pm EDT] - Birmingham City @ Sunderland - Sunderland (-135)

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordans play for today...

Tuesday's winner ...
400♦ ATLANTA BRAVES RUN LINE (LIST Jurrjens and Figueroa) - It’s a given the Braves will not win the National League East. But with how competitive things are out West, and the fact the Giants, Rockies and Dodgers could easily beat each other up and create an avenue for Atlanta to cause some issues in the wild-card race, I have to believe this is a great team to watch for value over these final couple of weeks.

Just looking at the following schedules, I’d be optimistic if I were a Brave, knowing I play the Mets twice, the Nationals a total of seven times and the Marlins thrice. Other than the Fish, the Braves could conceivably go 9-0 in the other games. The Giants, who are just ahead of the Braves in the wild-card race, still have a tough three-game set in Arizona, then host the Cubs for four and the Snakes for another three before ending with the Padres. The wild-card leading Rockies have the Padres (who aren’t a slouch in division games) and then have tough assignments with the Cardinals, Brewers and Dodgers. Again, if I were a Brave, I’d be stoked about my chances of climbing the wild-card standings.

It begins with this blowout win over the Mets, led by the pitching prowess of Jair Jurrjens, who has a 1.64 ERA in his last three starts and despite a 12-10 record on the year has a respectable 2.75 ERA for 2009. The right-hander just dominated this same Mets team on Sept. 17, tossing seven innings, scattering six hits, giving up just one earned run and striking out five. He’s 5-1 with a 2.62 ERA in seven career starts versus the Mets, including 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA this season.

The Braves, who have won nine of 11 overall, have won six straight in this NL East clash by an average margin of 8-2.5; this year they hold an 11-5 edge. This one should be just as easy in facing Nelson Figueroa, who is 0-3 his last three times out with a 6.61 ERA. For the season, the Mets’ right-hander is 2-6 with a 5.21 ERA in seven starts and six relief appearances. The team is 1-6 in games he’s started, and 2-11 in all the games he’s appeared.

Lay the run line here, as the Braves are playing for a return to the postseason.

 

[SamuelEmporia]

Where is EVERYONE???

Craig Davis 75 DIME ---- ROCKIES (With de la Rosa) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over PADRES (With Mujica)I will be back by 4:00 pm with my analysis

 

[Born2Booze]

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
9/22/09- Tuesday MLB
$5.00

10*nyy/laa over 10.5
10*atlanta-165
7*detroit-121
7*oakland-130
5*phillies+113 GM 2